Sacramento
Implied probability 95%−2
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$30k
Liquidity$30k
Resolves21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 97% |
| 2 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 92% |
| 2 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 96% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 19:40 UTC | 92% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Domantas Sabonis plays for the Sacramento Kings at any point before October 21, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not play for Sacramento by that deadline. Readers often mistake the date of the trade rumor or his current team status for the resolution criteria, but only his actual team affiliation before the deadline matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%