Washington
Implied probability 95%−2
24-hour volume$238
Total volume$39k
Liquidity$39k
Resolves21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 19:01 UTC | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 06:05 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 96% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Anthony Davis joins a Washington team before October 21, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not join Washington by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the start of contract negotiations rather than the player's actual team affiliation.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%