Miami
Implied probability 95%+18
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves25 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 31 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 95% |
| 30 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 80% |
| 29 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 77% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sandy Alcantara plays for Miami before March 25, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not join or remain with the team by that deadline. Readers often mistake the exercise of a contract option as final confirmation of his next team.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%