No new person
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$275k
Liquidity$275k
Resolves21 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 13:39 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the next White House Press Secretary is not a new person. The outcome depends on who holds the title immediately after the current incumbent leaves or is replaced. Readers often mistake the linked story about Karoline Leavitt as the resolution event, but her role as a Fox News contributor does not count toward this specific government position.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%