At least 6 million
Implied probability 99%+16
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 7 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 99% |
| 6 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the number one show on Netflix reaches at least 6 million views on the specific chart published on October 13, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%