Below: Limited Series
Implied probability 97%+5
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 93% |
| 10 Oct, 06:06 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 82% |
| 9 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 95% |
| 9 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 95% |
| 9 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 97% |
| 9 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 95% |
| 9 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 92% |
| 9 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 93% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 91% |
| 9 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 93% |
| 9 Oct, 13:35 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Oct, 12:02 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Oct, 11:36 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 91% |
| 9 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 91% |
| 9 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 93% |
| 9 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 41% |
| 9 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 07:03 UTC | 38% |
| 9 Oct, 06:38 UTC | 36% |
| 9 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 33% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 45% |
| 9 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 48% |
| 9 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 45% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 81% |
| 8 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 60% |
| 8 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 69% |
| 8 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 73% |
| 8 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 64% |
| 8 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 50% |
| 8 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 69% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 65% |
| 8 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 47% |
| 8 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 45% |
| 8 Oct, 15:36 UTC | 71% |
| 8 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 77% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 51% |
| 8 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 66% |
| 8 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 65% |
| 8 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 66% |
| 8 Oct, 11:32 UTC | 67% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 79% |
| 8 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 81% |
| 8 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Oct, 07:22 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the show reaches the number one spot on the Netflix Top 10 US chart published on October 13, 2026. The outcome is No if it does not reach that position on that specific date. Readers often mistake the publication date for the release date of the show.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%