8+ wins
Implied probability 1%−3
24-hour volume$600
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Why it moved: −3 points at 20:28 UTC, after SI Feed: Purdue vs. Washington Confidence Meter: Boilers Looking For Third Straight Win — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 04:23 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 6% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Washington college football team finishes the 2026 regular season with eight or more wins. It resolves to No if they finish with fewer than eight wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%