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10+ wins

Implied probability 85%−8
24-hour volume$148
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves20 Dec 2026

Why it moved: −7 points at 23:22 UTC, after SI Feed: How Auburn Football Took Down No. 1 Georgia For The Biggest Win of Alex Golesh's Career — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · 10+ wins
0%50%100%85%11 Oct, 19:24 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now85%
18 Oct, 14:48 UTC88%
18 Oct, 07:55 UTC86%
18 Oct, 07:01 UTC87%
18 Oct, 04:18 UTC90%
18 Oct, 03:23 UTC89%
18 Oct, 01:23 UTC92%
17 Oct, 23:22 UTC86%
17 Oct, 14:11 UTC93%
16 Oct, 22:55 UTC96%
15 Oct, 17:18 UTC95%
15 Oct, 13:45 UTC91%
15 Oct, 01:18 UTC94%
14 Oct, 13:19 UTC93%
14 Oct, 04:27 UTC94%
12 Oct, 16:25 UTC91%
12 Oct, 04:54 UTC90%
11 Oct, 22:34 UTC93%
11 Oct, 19:24 UTC89%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Georgia’s college football team finishes the 2026 regular season with at least 10 wins. It resolves to No if they win fewer than 10 games during that specific schedule. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking any postseason bowl game counts toward the total when only regular-season results matter.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 85%
  • No 15%

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