11+ wins
Implied probability 43%−4
24-hour volume$48
Total volume$31k
Liquidity$31k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 43% |
| 10 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 43% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 48% |
| 9 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 47% |
| 9 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 48% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 47% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 44% |
| 5 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 50% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 49% |
| 4 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 49% |
| 4 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 26% |
| 4 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 43% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Texas Tech achieves at least 11 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than 11 wins in that specific season. Readers often mistake the linked story about Austin Romaine as a win, but only official regular-season game results count toward the total.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 43%
- No 57%