4+ wins
The market favoured Yes at 55% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolved24 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 55% |
| 19 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 54% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Stanford’s college football team records at least four victories during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes that season with fewer than four wins. Readers often mistake the linked game result for the final count, but only the total wins from the entire 2026 regular season determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%