7+ wins
Implied probability 57%+2
24-hour volume$35
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 57% |
| 5 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Oct, 10:00 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Oct, 05:37 UTC | 64% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 60% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 30% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Minnesota college football team achieves at least seven wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they secure fewer than seven wins in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to any season other than 2026, or confuse regular-season victories with playoff games.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 57%
- No 43%