11+ wins
Implied probability 63%−1
24-hour volume$377
Total volume$29k
Liquidity$29k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Oct, 04:06 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 57% |
| 26 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 58% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Oct, 05:57 UTC | 59% |
| 25 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 57% |
| 24 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 59% |
| 24 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 56% |
| 24 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 54% |
| 24 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 49% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if the Indiana college football team achieves at least 11 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to "No" if the team fails to reach that win total in that specific season. Readers often mistakenly believe that postseason games count toward this total, but only regular-season victories are considered.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 63%
- No 37%