9+ wins
Implied probability 78%
24-hour volume$44
Total volume$64k
Liquidity$64k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 78% |
| 31 Oct, 07:18 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 79% |
| 30 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 81% |
| 29 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 79% |
| 29 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 74% |
| 29 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 82% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Alabama college football team achieves at least 9 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they fall short of that win total in that specific season. Readers often mistake the linked story about player improvement for a factor in the resolution, but only the final win count matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 78%
- No 22%