Indiana
The market favoured No at 84% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$67k
Liquidity$67k
Resolved18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 11% |
| 17 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 12% |
| 17 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 24% |
| 17 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 19% |
| 17 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 16% |
| 17 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 17% |
| 17 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 18% |
| 16 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 19% |
| 16 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 19:45 UTC | 23% |
| 13 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 18% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Indiana finishes the 2026 college football regular season without any losses. It resolves to No if the team loses at least one game during that specific season. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the resolution depends on playoff results or bowl games rather than just the regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%