Florida
The market favoured Yes at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 97%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolved17 Nov 2026
What counts
Florida must rank in the top 25 of the College Football AP Poll Week 9 Rankings for the 2026-27 season to resolve as Yes. The market resolves based on this specific football poll, not the basketball rankings mentioned in the linked story. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming the basketball headline determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%