Texas
Implied probability 28%+5
24-hour volume$17
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves7 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 28% |
| 7 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 01:32 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 27% |
| 1 Nov, 15:08 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Texas qualifies for the College Football Playoff Semifinals during the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of a regular-season loss for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 28%
- No 72%