Oregon
Implied probability 1%−5
24-hour volume$9
Total volume$40k
Liquidity$40k
Resolves29 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 18% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Oregon qualifies for the College Football Playoffs. It resolves to No if Oregon does not qualify. Readers often mistake a single game win, like the one against Portland State, as sufficient for playoff qualification.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%