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Michigan

Implied probability 13%−16
24-hour volume$6.9M
Total volume$8.7M
Liquidity$8.7M
Resolves26 Oct 2026

Does the market have this right?

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Michigan wins the college football game against Indiana scheduled for October 24, 2026. It resolves to No if Michigan does not win that specific game. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but only the official result of this particular match counts, not other games or general team performance.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 87%

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