Arkansas
Implied probability 16%−1
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$29k
Liquidity$29k
Resolves5 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 05:05 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 17% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Arkansas wins the college football game against Texas A&M originally scheduled for October 3, 2026. The outcome is No if Arkansas does not win that specific game. Readers often mistake the original date for a fixed deadline, but the resolution depends solely on the result of the actual game played.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%