Mike Norvell
The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 97%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolved2 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 1 Nov, 21:48 UTC | 97% |
| 1 Nov, 20:43 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Nov, 03:47 UTC | 98% |
| 1 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 61% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mike Norvell departs or announces his departure as Florida State's head coach before February 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of a recent game or press conference for the deadline, but only an actual departure or announcement counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%