Iowa
Why it moved: −5 points at 17:12 UTC, after SI Feed: Iowa vs. Northwestern: 3 Bold Predictions as the Hawkeyes Take On the Wildcats — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 40% |
| 5 Nov, 15:15 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Nov, 12:09 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 51% |
| 2 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 56% |
| 2 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 54% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 11:04 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 45% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Iowa must finish in the top five of the Big Ten standings at the end of the 2026 college football regular season for the market to resolve to Yes. Any other finish results in a No resolution. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on bowl games or playoff rankings rather than the regular season standings.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 50%
- No 50%