Cason Wallace
The market favoured Yes at 93% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 93%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved7 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 93% |
| 19 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 93% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Cason Wallace starts the first game of the 2026-27 Oklahoma City Thunder regular season. The outcome is No if he does not start that specific game. Readers often mistake the linked contract extension for a guarantee, but only his actual starting status in that future game determines the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 93%
- No 7%