Philadelphia
Implied probability 96%−3
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves12 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 7 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 97% |
| 6 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 22:28 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Nov, 20:09 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Nov, 10:35 UTC | 98% |
| 5 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 12:44 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 19:12 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 14:44 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 00:43 UTC | 99% |
| 2 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 97% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if LeBron James signs with a professional basketball team in Philadelphia before February 12, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the headline's mention of a "bid" as confirmation that he has already joined the team.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%