Retires / No Team
Implied probability 1%−7
24-hour volume$606
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves12 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 7 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Nov, 00:01 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 04:34 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 16:41 UTC | 12% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if LeBron James officially retires or signs with no team before February 12, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the news headline about his AI app demands for a retirement announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%