Luka Doncic
Implied probability 40%+5
24-hour volume$20k
Total volume$553k
Liquidity$553k
Resolves30 Jun 2028
Why it moved: +5 points at 06:19 UTC, after SI Feed: 2 Winners, 2 Losers in Blazers Loss vs. Luka Doncic, Lakers — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 7 Nov, 07:00 UTC | 40% |
| 7 Nov, 06:46 UTC | 41% |
| 7 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 41% |
| 7 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 34% |
| 7 Nov, 02:31 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Nov, 01:48 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 23:26 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 22:21 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 21:45 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 21:08 UTC | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 20:09 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 04:56 UTC | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 34% |
| 6 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 22:18 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 19:43 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 18:28 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 17:28 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 11:41 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 11:26 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 10:24 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 07:09 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Nov, 05:42 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 03:23 UTC | 34% |
| 5 Nov, 01:35 UTC | 33% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 23:40 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 23:18 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 22:42 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 22:20 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 20:52 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 19:49 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 12:47 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Nov, 10:58 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Nov, 07:13 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 30% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 23:31 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 16:19 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 14:39 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 13:55 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 12:50 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 11:20 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 10:45 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 10:16 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Nov, 08:59 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 07:34 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Nov, 07:05 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Nov, 06:51 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 03:05 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 23:30 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 23:08 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 22:17 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 21:05 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 20:58 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 20:01 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 18:49 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 17:34 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 16:04 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 15:42 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 15:27 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 13:41 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 11:43 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 09:52 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 09:18 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Nov, 03:49 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 03:13 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 01:10 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 23:07 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 21:19 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 19:16 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 15:53 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 09:08 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 05:33 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 05:11 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Nov, 01:31 UTC | 22% |
| 31 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 23% |
| 31 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 22% |
| 31 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 23% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 22% |
| 31 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 23% |
| 31 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 22% |
| 31 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 23% |
| 31 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 22% |
| 31 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 23% |
| 31 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 22% |
| 31 Oct, 09:45 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Luka Doncic is officially named the NBA Most Valuable Player for the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if he does not receive this award. Readers often mistake the linked headline about a Lakers championship ad as relevant, but only the MVP award matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 40%
- No 60%