More than $1.4 trillion
Implied probability 11%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$275k
Liquidity$275k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 31 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Oct, 20:08 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 16% |
| 28 Oct, 02:44 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 15% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk’s net worth exceeds $1.4 trillion before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if his net worth does not reach that amount by that date. Readers often mistake the source of truth for net worth calculations or the specific deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%