Milwaukee beats Tampa Bay
The market favoured Yes at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$19k
Total volume$179k
Liquidity$179k
Resolved9 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 29 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 21:22 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 18:45 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 15:11 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 02:44 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 22:30 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 21:40 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 13:11 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 07:31 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 85% |
| 26 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 85% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 11:35 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 06:41 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 86% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 58% |
| 25 Oct, 00:50 UTC | 58% |
| 25 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 18:08 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 13:07 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 71% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 66% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 63% |
| 23 Oct, 13:11 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 63% |
| 23 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 64% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 64% |
| 22 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 64% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Milwaukee Brewers defeat the Tampa Bay Rays in the 2026 World Series. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship game. Readers often mistake the linked story about reaching the World Series as the final result, but only the actual championship outcome counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%