Jackson Chourio
The market favoured No at 75% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 03:28 UTC | 11% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 27% |
| 29 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 47% |
| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 46% |
| 28 Oct, 21:22 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 47% |
| 28 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Oct, 15:26 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 44% |
| 28 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 44% |
| 28 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 43% |
| 28 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 44% |
| 28 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 44% |
| 28 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 43% |
| 28 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 42% |
| 28 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 43% |
| 28 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 44% |
| 28 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 47% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 32% |
| 28 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 43% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 44% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 43% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 43% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 45% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 43% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Oct, 03:59 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Oct, 03:12 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 16:31 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 23:01 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 28% |
| 25 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 13:07 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Oct, 09:57 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 13% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jackson Chourio is named the World Series Most Valuable Player for the 2026 season. It resolves to No if he does not receive this specific award. Readers often mistake winning any other postseason honor or simply playing in the World Series as sufficient for a Yes outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%