Jackson Chourio: 3+
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolved8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 3% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jackson Chourio hits three or more home runs during the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee Championship Series in the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoffs. It resolves to No if he fails to reach that total within those specific playoff games. Readers often mistake any hit for a home run, but only actual home runs count toward this total.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%