Milwaukee
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$75k
Total volume$432k
Liquidity$432k
Resolved21 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 29 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 93% |
| 28 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 21:22 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 15:11 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 07:22 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 89% |
| 28 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 75% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 10:30 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 77% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 63% |
| 22 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 62% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Milwaukee wins the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee Championship Series in the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoffs. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked social media post for the resolution criteria, but only the official playoff result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%