Tampa Bay
The market favoured Yes at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$170k
Liquidity$170k
Resolved10 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 78% |
| 19 Oct, 02:35 UTC | 79% |
| 19 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 80% |
| 19 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 81% |
| 19 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 80% |
| 18 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 70% |
| 18 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 62% |
| 18 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 20:06 UTC | 57% |
| 18 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 57% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 57% |
| 18 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 57% |
| 18 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 57% |
| 18 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 57% |
| 18 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 58% |
| 18 Oct, 04:04 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 49% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 36% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 37% |
| 17 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 36% |
| 17 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 39% |
| 17 Oct, 16:16 UTC | 36% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 39% |
| 17 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 36% |
| 17 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 39% |
| 17 Oct, 12:27 UTC | 37% |
| 17 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 37% |
| 17 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 38% |
| 17 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 37% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 38% |
| 16 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 37% |
| 16 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 38% |
| 16 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 38% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 37% |
| 16 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 38% |
| 16 Oct, 19:20 UTC | 38% |
| 16 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 37% |
| 16 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 38% |
| 16 Oct, 12:12 UTC | 37% |
| 16 Oct, 08:59 UTC | 38% |
| 16 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 35% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 38% |
| 16 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 35% |
| 15 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 37% |
| 15 Oct, 23:15 UTC | 38% |
| 15 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 35% |
| 15 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 37% |
| 15 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 39% |
| 15 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 36% |
| 15 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 52% |
| 15 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 60% |
| 15 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 51% |
| 15 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 55% |
| 15 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 55% |
| 15 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 54% |
| 15 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 55% |
| 15 Oct, 09:30 UTC | 54% |
| 15 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 55% |
| 15 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 55% |
| 15 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 54% |
| 15 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 07:02 UTC | 57% |
| 14 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 58% |
| 14 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 57% |
| 14 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 45% |
| 13 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 43% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 43% |
| 13 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 42% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Tampa Bay wins the championship series against Cleveland in the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoffs. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific series. Readers often mistake a single game victory for winning the entire series.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%