Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 21:59 UTC | 6% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits at least 50 home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. It resolves to No if he fails to reach that total within those specific games. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the postseason or a different year.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%