William Contreras
Implied probability 38%+19
24-hour volume$201
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves8 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 25 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 59% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 25% |
| 25 Oct, 00:50 UTC | 24% |
| 24 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 38% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if William Contreras finishes the 2026 MLB postseason with the most home runs among all players. The outcome is No if he does not lead in this category. Readers often mistake the regular season statistics for the qualifying criteria, but only postseason home runs count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 62%