Jackson Chourio
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$108
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolved8 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 02:06 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Oct, 21:40 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 15:02 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Oct, 11:01 UTC | 21% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jackson Chourio finishes with more home runs than any other player during the 2026 Major League Baseball postseason. It resolves to No if he does not lead all players in this category. Readers often mistake the regular season statistics for the official count, but only postseason home runs determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%