Aaron Judge
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves8 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Aaron Judge wins the Hank Aaron Award for the 2026 MLB season; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the award year or assume a different award counts, but only the Hank Aaron Award for the 2026 season matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%