Poindexter, 10+ pts
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 14:30 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 06:30 UTC | 29% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 7th District by a margin of 10 percentage points or more. It resolves to No if that specific victory margin does not occur. Readers often mistake the linked story about Max Miller conceding as the final result, but only the official outcome of the 2026 election determines the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%