Ossoff, 10+ pts
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$11
Total volume$163k
Liquidity$163k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 7 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 99% |
| 7 Nov, 02:02 UTC | 100% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 99% |
| 6 Nov, 00:20 UTC | 100% |
| 5 Nov, 18:28 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 09:07 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 08:38 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 08:24 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 68% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by a margin of at least 10 percentage points. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about a potential 2028 presidential bid as the relevant event, but only the specific 2026 Senate election results matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%