Above 65000
Implied probability 99%+13
24-hour volume$821
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves31 Mar 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 22 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 89% |
| 21 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 86% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Meta Platforms reports a headcount exceeding 65,000 in 2026. It resolves to No if the reported headcount is 65,000 or lower. Readers often mistake the linked news story about capital expenditure for the relevant metric, but only employee headcount counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%