Before Dec 1, 2026
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$475
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 22:05 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Dune: Part Three is publicly released worldwide through official channels before December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if that release does not occur by the deadline. Readers often mistake the release of soundtrack singles for the full movie release.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%