Above 85
Implied probability 10%−40
24-hour volume$46
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves29 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 10% |
| 21 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 50% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Metascore for Nintendo Switch Sports Resort exceeds 85 exactly seven days after its release at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline as the day of release rather than the specific date and time one week later.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%