Above 130
Implied probability 77%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves26 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 77% |
| 23 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Oct, 21:02 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 73% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Lockheed Martin delivers more than 130 F-35 aircraft during fiscal year 2026. It resolves to No if deliveries are 130 or fewer. Readers often mistake the announcement of a contract for actual deliveries, but only the final count in fiscal 2026 matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 77%
- No 23%