Grok
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$280
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if xAI holds the top spot for large language models on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if xAI does not hold that position on that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about subscriptions as the deciding factor instead of the specific ranking deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%