Yes
Implied probability 14%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$26k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any OPEC member state officially announces its departure from the organization before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake news about production quotas or price adjustments for an actual exit announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%