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Josh Allen

Implied probability 13%+11
24-hour volume$31
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves8 Feb 2027

Why it moved: +12 points at 01:24 UTC, after www.espn.com: Allen's halftime words spark Bills' 2nd-half turnaround in win vs. Ravens — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Josh Allen
0%50%100%13%27 Oct, 16:45 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
2 Nov, 01:24 UTC13%
2 Nov, 00:55 UTC1%
1 Nov, 21:19 UTC13%
31 Oct, 17:13 UTC2%
27 Oct, 16:45 UTC1%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Josh Allen finishes the 2026-2027 regular season with the most passing touchdowns in the NFL. The outcome depends solely on his total touchdown count during that specific regular season, not on playoff performance or any other statistic. Readers often mistake this for a bet on him leading the league at any point during the season rather than finishing with the highest total.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 87%

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