Pete Crow-Armstrong
Implied probability 42%−1
24-hour volume$439
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves22 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 25 Sept, 14:39 UTC | 42% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 44% |
| 25 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 43% |
| 25 Sept, 06:10 UTC | 44% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 04:04 UTC | 44% |
| 25 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 43% |
| 25 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 42% |
| 25 Sept, 00:13 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Sept, 23:14 UTC | 39% |
| 24 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 46% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 43% |
| 23 Sept, 18:30 UTC | 47% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Pete Crow-Armstrong leads Major League Baseball in home runs during the 2026 regular season. The outcome is No if he does not lead the league in that category for that specific season. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count must be complete by a certain date rather than relying on the final official standings of the 2026 regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 42%
- No 58%