Before the start of the 2026-27 regular season
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$3.3M
Liquidity$3.3M
Resolved31 Oct 2026
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if LeBron James announces his retirement before the start of the 2026-27 NBA regular season. It resolves to No if he does not make such an announcement by that date. Readers often mistake the linked ESPN article as the official confirmation, but only a direct retirement announcement from James counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%