Team Europe
The market favoured Yes at 71% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$26k
Resolved13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Sept, 14:31 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 14:03 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Sept, 13:22 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 84% |
| 27 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 11:40 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 10:51 UTC | 83% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 85% |
| 27 Sept, 07:01 UTC | 86% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Sept, 04:25 UTC | 85% |
| 27 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 82% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 00:42 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 20:04 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Sept, 17:14 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 76% |
| 26 Sept, 15:40 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 09:33 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Sept, 06:16 UTC | 76% |
| 26 Sept, 05:00 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 75% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 85% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 84% |
| 24 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 75% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Team Europe wins the 2026 Laver Cup, and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the current early lead shown in the linked story for a final victory. The resolution depends solely on the tournament winner, not the standings at any intermediate stage.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%