Lamine Yamal
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves8 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 13:54 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Lamine Yamal leaves Barcelona before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains with the club on that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story for a transfer event, but only an actual change of club counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%