Before Nov 1, 2026
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump signs an executive order reversing the renaming of Lake Ontario to Lake America before November 1, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not take this specific action by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Atlantic or Pacific Ocean for the relevant event, but only actions concerning Lake Ontario count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%