Netanyahu bloc
Implied probability 4%+1
24-hour volume$67k
Total volume$78k
Liquidity$78k
Resolves27 Oct 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the resolution event, but only the official seat count from the 2026 election matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%